ECONOMIC STABILITY

S.KAMAL HAYDER KAZMI,
(feedback@pgeconomist.com)
Research Analyst
, PAGE
Sep 17 - 23, 2012

REAL GDP GROWTH RATE (%)

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
3.7 1.7 3.1 3.00 3.7

PER CAPITA INCOME ($)

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
1015 990 1068 1258 1372

CIVILIAN LABOUR FORCE (million No.)

YEAR 2009-10 2010-11
Labour force 56.33 57.24
Employed 53.21 53.84
Unemployed 3.12 3.40

BALANCE OF TRADE (Million US $)

PERIOD EXPORTS (BOP) IMPORTS (BOP) BALANCE OF TRADE
2006-07 17,278 26,989 -9,711
2007-08 20,427 35,397 -14,970
2008-09 19,121 31,747 -12,627
2009-10 19,673 31,209 -11,536
2010-11 25,355 35,872 -10,517
2011-12 24,655 40,036 -15,381


INTEREST RATES

DATE (%)
2-Aug-10 13
30-Sep-10 13.5
30-Nov-10 14
1-Aug-11 13.5
9-Oct-11 12
13-Aug-12 to date 10.5

FATALITIES IN TERRORIST VIOLENCE IN PAKISTAN (2012)

MONTH CIVILIANS SECURITY FORCE PERSONNEL TERRORISTS/
INSURGENTS
TOTAL  
January 177 117 234 528
February 208 59 193 460
March 207 72 454 733
April 239 36 124 399
May 247 76 193 516
June 303 64 289 656
July 303 60 207 570
August 254 70 304 628
September 71 7 59 137
Total 2009 561 2057 4627

OIL MONTHLY BASKET PRICES

MONTHS PER BARRELS US $
Sep-2011 107.61
Oct-2011 106.29
Nov-2011 110.08
Dec-2011 107.04
Jan-2012 111.76
Feb-2012 117.48
Mar-2012 122.97
Apr-2012 118.18
May-2012 108.07
June-2012 93.98
July-2012 99.55
Aug-2012 109.52
Sep-2012 112.23

COUNTRY WISE WORKERS' REMITTANCES (Million US $)

COUNTRY APR-12 MAY-12 JUN-12
USA 198.00 205.52 206.60
U.K. 131.82 130.71 126.72
Saudi Arabia 332.43 365.46 333.68
U.A.E. 245.33 243.46 219.14
Other GCC Country 127.12 140.27 128.12
EU Countries 31.14 30.96 29.24
Norway 2.61 2.86 3.29
Switzerland 1.90 2.31 2.86
Australia 8.80 9.56 11.60
Canada 15.65 15.01 13.27
Japan 0.32 0.78 0.52
Others Countries 45.90 45.21 42.44
 Total 1,141.02 1,192.11 1,117.48


DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS OF PAKISTAN

INDICATORS 2011-12 (1st July)
Total Population (million) 180.71
Urban Population (million) 67.55
Rural Population (million) 113.16
Total Fertility Rate (TFR) 3.4
Crude Birth Rate (per thousand) 27.2
Crude Death Rate (per thousand) 7.2
Population Growth Rate (%) 2.03
Life Expectancy (years)
- Female 66.1
- Males 64.3

CREDIT/LOANS CLASSIFIED BY BORROWERS (Million Rupees) (May 31, 2012)

DESCRIPTION JUN-10 MAY-11 JUN-11 MAY-12P
1. Credit to Government Sector (A+B) 2,426,425 3,005,226 3,009,390 4,105,889
A. SBP Credit to Government Sector (Net) 1,187,822 1,348,919 1,185,155 1,615,121
Investment in Govt. Securities 1,165,824 1,423,882 1,364,773 1,695,042
Loans to Government 117,188 5,522 21,351 2,740
Others 8,153 8,649 8,654 8,653
Less: Govt. Deposits 103,343 89,134 209,624 91,315
B. Scheduled Banks Credit to Government Sector (Net) 1,238,603 1,656,307 1,824,235 2,490,768
Investment in Govt. Securities 1,367,618 1,857,871 2,057,219 2,730,714
Loans to Government 423,912 383,938 409,909 414,228
Less: Govt. Deposits 552,927 585,502 642,893 654,173
2. Credit to Non Government Sector (A+B) 3,311,418 3,476,484 3,493,835 3,558,208

PRODUCTION AND EXPORT OF FRUIT

FISCAL YEAR

PRODUCTION OF IMPORTANT FRUIT (000 TONNES) EXPORTS
CITRUS MANGO APPLE BANANA APRICOT ALMONDS GRAPES GUAVA (000 TONS) VALUE MILLION RS
2005-06 2,458 1,754 351 164 197 23 49 552 455 7,508
2006-07 1,472 1,719 348 151 177 23 47 555 343 6,894
2007-08 2,294 1,754 442 158 240 27 75 539 411 9,085
2008-09 2,132 1,728 441 157 238 26 76 512 469 12,519
2009-10 2,150 1,846 366 155 194 22 65 509 687 20,094
2010-11 1,982 1,888 526 139 190 21 64 547 669 25,017
2011-12 P 1,832 1,699 827 99 187 21 64 527 493 24,520

LIVESTOCK POPULATION (Million Nos.)

SPECIES 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
Cattle 34.3 35.6 36.9
Buffalo 30.8 31.7 32.7
Sheep 27.8 28.1 28.4
Goat 59.9 61.5 63.1
Camels 1.0 1.0 1.0
Horses 0.4 0.4 0.4
Asses 4.6 4.7 4.8
Mules 0.2 0.2 0.2

AGRICULTURE GROWTH (%)

YEAR %
2009‐10 0.6
2010-11 2.4
2011-12 3.1

CPI, SPI & WPI INDICES (Base 2007-08)

INDEX AVERAGES JULY-AUGUST % CHANGES AUGUST OVER AUGUST % CHANGES
2012-13 2011-12 2010-11 2012-13 2011-12 2010-11
CPI 9.32 11.99 12.59 9.05 11.56 12.79
SPI 7.92 12.33 13.90 8.16 11.55 13.89
WPI 7.47 19.46 17.85 7.71 18.68 17.53