FOOD & AGRICULTURE

S.KAMAL HAYDER KAZMI,
(feedback@pgeconomist.com)
Research Analyst
, PAGE
Feb 13 - 19, 2012

AREA & PRODUCTION OF OTHER MAJOR KHARIF AND RABI CROPS

CROPS

2010-11 (P)

AREA(000 HECTARES)

PRODUCTION
(000 TONS)

% CHANGE IN PRODUCTION OVER LAST YEAR

KHARIF
Maize 939 3341 2.4
Bajra 548 346 18.1
Jawar 221 139 -9.7
RABI
Gram 1068 523 -6.9
Barley 83 73 2.8
Rapeseed & Mustard 194 168 11.3
Tobacco 64 138 16.0

AGRICULTURE GROWTH

YEAR %
2005-06 6.3
2006-07 4.1
2007‐08 1.0
2008‐09 4.0
2009‐10 0.6
2010-11 1.2

ACTUAL SURFACE WATER AVAILABILITY (MAF)

PERIOD KHARIF RABI TOTAL
2005-06 70.8 30.1 100.9
2006-07 63.1 31.2 94.3
2007-08 70.8 27.9 98.7
2008-09 66.9 24.9 91.8
2009-10 67.3 25.0 92.3
2010-11 53.4 34.6 88.0

REAL GDP (RS. Mn)

COMMODITY PRODUCING SECTOR 2010-11
I. Agriculture 1,216,523
Crops 509,393
Major Crops 376,822
Minor Crops 132,571
Livestock 670,743
Fishing 22,041
Forestry 14,346
Note: at constant price of 1999-00

MAJOR COTTON GROWING COUNTRIES

. 2010-11 (MN TONS)
PRODUCTION
China 6.40
India 5.30
USA 3.94
Pakistan 1.91
Brazil 2.03
Uzbekistan 1.00
Others 4.21
World Total 24.79
CONSUMPTION
China 10.00
India 4.61
Pakistan 2.22
East Asia/Australia 1.78
Europe & Turkey 1.48
Brazil 1.04
USA 0.81
Others 3.11
World Total 25.05

HISTORICAL AGRICULTURE GROWTH

YEARS % YEARS %
1960s 5.1 1970s 2.4
1980s 5.4 1990s 4.4
2000s 3.2 - -

SECTORAL CONTRIBUTION TO THE GDP GROWTH (% Points)

SECTOR 2009-10 2010-11
Agriculture 0.13 0.26
Industry 2.09 -0.02
- Manufacturing 1.01 0.55
Services 1.54 2.15

COMPARATIVE REAL GDP GROWTH RATES (%)

COUNTRY 2010-11 2011-12
India 8.2 7.8
Bangladesh 6.3 6.6
Sri Lanka 6.9 6.5

WHEAT AREA HARVESTED

PROVINCE AREA (MILLION HECTARES) PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL AREA
Punjab 6.836 76
Sindh 1.041 12
KPK 0.686 8
Baluchistan 0.327 4
Total 8.890 100

PRODUCTION AND EXPORT OF FRUIT (Jul-Mar)

FISCAL YEAR PRODUCTION OF IMPORTANT FRUIT (000 Tonnes) EXPORT
CITRUS MANGO APPLE BANANA APRICOT ALMONDS GRAPES GUAVA (000 Ton.) Value (Mln.Rs)
2004-05 1,843 1,671 352 158 205 23 49 572 281 5,408
2005-06 2,458 1,754 351 164 197 23 49 552 455 7,508
2006-07 1,473 1,720 348 150 177 24 47 555 343 6,894
2007-08 2,294 1,754 442 156 240 27 75 539 411 9,085
2008-09 2,132 1,728 441 157 238 27 76 512 466 12,314
2009-10 P 2,203 1,847 426 155 235 26 77 516 533 16,554

PRODUCTION OF IMPORTANT CROPS (000 tonnes)

FY WHEAT RICE BAJ JOW MAIZE BLY TOTAL FOOD GRAINS GRAM SUGAR CANE R&M SES COTTON (000 BALES) TOB
2005-06 21,277 5,547 221 153 3,110 88 30,396 480 44,666 172 35.0 13,019 113
2006-07 23,295 5,438 238 180 3,088 93 32,337 838 54,742 212 30.0 12,856 103
2007-08 20,959 5,563 305 170 3,605 87 31,198 475 63,920 176 32.8 11,655 108
2008-09 24,033 6,952 296 165 3,593 82 35,121 741 50,045 188 41.0 11,819 105
2009-10 P 23,864 6,883 293 154 3,487 78 34,759 571 49,373 202 33.4 12,698 104
R&M: RAPESEED AND MUSTARD, SES: SESAMUM, TOB: TOBACCO, BLY: BARLEY, BAJ: BAJRA, JOW: JOWAR

IMPORTS: YEAR WISE(AVERAGE) WORLD TRADE PROJECTION (kt)

. 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Wheat 117 340 119 508 121 518 123 416 125 639 127 971
Coarse grains 109 776 111 531 113 116 114 841 116 115 118 227
Rice 34 097 34 352 35 259 36 074 37 093 37 954
Oilseeds 86 751 88 158 89 394 90 741 91 847 93 597
Vegetable oils 50 462 52 407 54 157 55 791 57 121 58 450
Beef 8 062 8 321 8 613 8 843 9 097 9 337
Pigmeat 5 279 5 443 5 576 5 680 5 766 5 901
Poultry 9 077 9 475 9 741 9 948 10 180 10 588
Butter 842 852 855 863 867 878
Cheese 1 666 1 710 1 750 1 792 1 833 1 876
Whole milk powder 1 872 1 950 2 012 2 076 2 139 2 203
Skim milk powder 1 182 1 184 1 205 1 198 1 210 1 244

EXPORTS RECEIPTS BY FOOD GROUP (Thousand US $)

FOOD GROUP

JUL-DEC

2010-11 2011-12
1,579,758 1,765,266
01. Rice 1,003,506 920,928
A) Basmati 605,822 519,601
B) Others 397,685 401,327
02 Fish & Fish Preparations 121,204 156,401
03 Fruits 102,998 108,429
04 Vegetables/Leguminous Vegetabl 49,947 48,111
05 Tobacco 8,444 8,461
06 Wheat Unmilled 0 54,772
07 Spices 13,161 20,262
08 Oil Seeds, Nuts and Kernals 6,408 12,611
09 Sugar 26 0
10 Meat and Meat Preparations 80,849 108,183
11 All Other Food Items 193,215 327,108

CPI IN PAKISTAN (Percent Growth)

CPI FY11P FY12TARGETS FY12 SBP PROJECTIONS
13.7 12.0 11.5 12.5