ALTERNATE ENERGY RESOURCES

S.KAMAL HAYDER KAZMI,
(feedback@pgeconomist.com)
Research Analyst
, PAGE
Dec 12 - 18, 2011

CONSUMPTION OF ELECTRICITY BY SECTORS
(Percentage Change)

YEARS TRA HH COM IND AGRI STL OTHER GOVT. TOTAL
GWH
HH
CHG GWH
(000)
CHG GWH
(000)
CHG GWH
(000)
CHG GWH
(000)
CHG GWH
(000)
CHG
2009-10 2 24.9 - 4.1 - 14.7 - 7.2 - 364 - 3.3 - 54,653
2010-11 - 25.8 3.8 4.2 1.9 15.8 7.3 6.6 -9.0 321 -11.8 3.5 4.1 56,194
HH: HOUSEHOLD, CHG: CHANGE, AGRI: AGRICULTURE, IND: INDUSTRIAL, TRA: TRACTION, COM: COMMERCIAL, STL: STREET LIGHT, TRA: TRACTION,

SUPPLY AND DEMAND OF ELECTRICITY IN PAKISTAN (MW)

  2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Existing Generation 15,903 15,903 15,903 15,903 15,903 15,903
Proposal / Committed Generation 10,556 13,307 13,520 14,607 16,134 18,448
Total Existing/Committed Generation 26,459 29,210 29,423 30,510 32,037 34,351
Expected Available Generation 21,167 23,368 23,538 24,408 25,630 27,481
Demand (Summer Peak) 22,460 24,126 25,919 28,029 30,223 35,504
Surplus/Deficit Generation -1,293 -758 -2,381 -3,621 -4,593 -8,023

CURRENT STATUS OF ON-GRID WIND POWER GENERATION PROJECTS

COMPANY LOCATION COMPANY LOCATION
New Park Energy Pvt Ltd Gharo Lucky Energy (Pvt) Ltd Jhampir
Tenaga Generasi Ltd. Kuttikun Metro Power Co. (Pvt) Jhampir
Green Power (Pvt) Ltd, Kuttikun Gul Ahmed Energy Ltd, Jhampir
Dawood Power Ltd. Bhambore Zorlu Enerji, Jhampir
Master Wind Energy Ltd, Jhampir Wind Eagle Ltd. (Tech. Plc Ltd), Jhampir
Zephyr Power Ltd Bhambore Wind Eagle Ltd. (Technology Plc Ltd), Jhampir
Beacon Energy Ltd. Kuttikun Sapphire Wind Power Company (Pvt) Ltd, Jhampir
HOM Energy (Private) Ltd, Jhampir CWE Jhampir
Sachal Energy Development Pvt Ltd, Jhampir Abbas Steel Group Bhambore
Fauji Fertilizer Company Ltd. Jhampir Abbas Steel Group Bhambore
Arabian Sea Wind Energy Pvt. Ltd. Lakha .

CONSUMPTION OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTS (000 TONES)
(PERCENTAGE CHANGE)

YEAR HH CHG IND CHG AGRI CHG TRA CHG POWER CHG OTHER
GOVT.
CHG TOTAL
2005-06 129 -33.2 1,682 9.1 82 -42.3 8,157 -9.6 4,219 22.2 359 13.2 14,627
2006-07 106 -17.8 1,596 -5.1 97 18.3 7,982 -2.1 6,741 59.8 . -9.5 16,847
2007-08 121 14.1 1,071 -32.9 109 12.7 9,384 17.6 7,084 5.1 311 -4.5 18,080
2008-09 97 -19.5 9,69 -9.5 70 -36.2 8,837 -5.8 7,750 6.9 367 18.2 17,911
2009-10 90 -7.5 985 1.6 58 -16.9 8,861 0.3 8,814 16.4 323 -12.0 19,131
2010-11 67 -1. 5 919 22.5 36 -18.2 6,599 0.3 5,913 1 -5.7 267 19.7 13,80
Note: 2010-11 July to March
HH: HOUSEHOLD, CHG: CHANGE, AGRI: AGRICULTURE, IND: INDUSTRIAL, TRA: TRANSPORT

MAJOR HYDRO ELECTRICITY SITES

Diamir Basha Dam 4500 MW
Bunji 5400 MW
Other small and medium size projects 22,000 MW
Total Potential: 31,000 MW
Total estimated investment: 60 billion US$

CONSUMPTION OF COAL (PERCENTAGE SHARE)

YEAR HOUSEHOLD POWER BRICK KILNS CEMENT
2009-10(e) 0.0 2.0 58.9 39.6
2010-11(e) 0.0 0.76 56.5 42.7

CONSUMPTION OF COAL (PERCENTAGE SHARE)

YEAR IMPORTS PRODUCTION TOTAL
2006-07 4,251 3,643 7,894
2007-08 5,987 4,124 10,111
2008-09 4,652 3,738 8,390
2009-10 4,652 3,738 8,390
JUL-MARCH
2009-10(e) 3,600 1,704 5,304
2010-11(e) 3,500 2,350 5,850

ANNUAL EXPECTED CAPACITY (IPP’s)

YEAR ( MW)
2011-12 672
2013 501
2014 612
2015 2,292
2016 888
2017 2,488

ANNUAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION

FY PETROLEUM PRODUCTS GAS ELECTRICITY COAL
TONS (000) CHANGE
(%)
(MMCFT) CHANGE
(%)
(GWH) CHANGE
(%)
M.T* (000) CHANGE
(%)
2005-06 14,627 -0.3 1,223,385 5.4 67,603 10.2 7,714.00 -2.3
2006-07 16,847 15.2 1,221,994 -0.1 72,712 7.6 7,894.10 2.3
2007-08 18,080 7.3 1,275,212 4.4 73,400 0.9 10,110.60 28.1
2008-09 17,911 -0.9 1,269,433 -0.5 70,371 -4.1 8,390 -17.0
2009-10 19,132 6.8 1,277,821 0.66 74,348 5.65 8,139 -2.99
Avg. 9 years. 1.3 . 6.0 . 4.9 . 9.1
JULY-MARCH
2009-10 13,937 - 959,475 - 54,653 - 5,304 -
2010-11 (e) 13,802 -0.97 939,960 -2.03 56,194 2.8 5,850 10.29

INTER CORPORATE CIRCULAR DEBT AS ON 30TH APRIL 2011
(RS. BILLION)

ORGANIZATION RECEIVABLES PAYABLES NET POSITION
JULY-APRIL 2010-11
NET POSITION
JULY-APRIL 2009-10
PSO 149.4 98.4 51.0 30.4
SSGCL 50.6 43.5 7.1 (1.0)
SNGPL 11.4 24.8 (13.4) (8.5)
PEPCO 304.2 301.5 2.7 (39.7)
OGDCL 115.6 0.1 115.5 79.7
PARCO 37.5 0 37 .5 29.9
KESC 67.6 40.1 27.5 (23.6)
GHPL 9.6 0 9.6 10.6
PPL 22.2 0 22.2 25.9
KW&SB 7.0 8.2 (1.2) 0.2

CONSUMPTION OF GAS
(Billion cft) (Percent change) (July-march)

YEAR HH CHG COM CHG CEM CHG FER CHG POW CHG IND CHG TRA
(CNG)
MMCFT
CHG
2009-10 184.5 - 28.6 - 1.7 - 162.5 - 264.8 - 246.1 - 71,225 -
2010-11(p) 185.9 0.75 27.2 -5.0 0.6 -64.7 166.9 -2.7 264.3 -0.2 223.6 -9.2 81,400 14.3
HH: HOUSEHOLD, CHG: CHANGE, COM: COMMERCIAL, FER: FERTILIZER, IND: INDUSTRIAL, TRA: TRANSPORT, CEM: CEMENT, POW: POWER