ALTERNATIVE ENERGY RESOURCES

S.KAMAL HAYDER KAZMI,
(feedback@pgeconomist.com)
Research Analyst
, PAGE
Apr
25 - May 1, 2011

FDI INFLOWS IN POWER, OIL & GAS ($ Million)

SECTOR 2002-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 09-10
(JUL-FEB)
10-11
(JUL-FEB)
Oil & Gas 186.8 202.4 193.8 312.7 545.1 634.8 775 740.6 424.7 325.7
Power 32.8 -14.2 73.4 320.6 193.4 70.3 130.6 -120.6 37.8 104.5

COMMERCIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION BY ELECTRICITY & COAL

FISCAL YEAR ELECTRICITY (GWH) COAL (000 METRIC TONNE)
TRAC HOUSE- HOLD COM INDUS TRIAL AGRI STREET LIGHT OTHER GOVT. HH POWER BRICK KILNS CEMENT
2005-06 13 30,720 4,730 19,803 7,949 353 4,035 .. 149.3 4,221.8 3,342.8
2006-07 12 33,335 5,363 21,066 8,176 387 4,373 1.0 164.4 3,277.5 4,451.2
2007-08 8 33,704 5,572 20,729 8,472 415 4,500 1.0 162.0 3,760.7 6,186.9
2008-09 5 32,282 5,252 19,330 8,795 430 4,277 0.8 112.5 3,274.8 5,001.8
JUL-MAR
2008-09 4 23,643 3,829 14,563 6,501 307 6,767 0.8 110.0 2,911.6 1,800.0
2009-10 2 24,868 4,133 14,726 7,227 364 3,333 .. 77.7 3,126.5 2,100.0
TRAC: TRACTION, COM: COMMERCIAL, AGRI: AGRICULTURAL, HH: HOUSE HOLD

TOTAL INSTALLED GENERATION CAPACITY (MW)

COMPANY INSTALLED CAPACITY 2009-10 SHARE (%) CHANGE
(1) WAPDA 11,399 56.5 -0.5
Hydel 6,555 57.5 0.0
Thermal 4,844 42.5 -1.1
(2) IPP’s 6,374 31.6 7.1
(3) Nuclear 462 2.3 0.0
(4 ) KESC 1,955.0 9.7 2.4
Total 20,190 100.0 2.1

INTER CORPORATE CIRCULAR DEBT (30TH APRIL 2010) (Rs. mn)

RECEIVABLES PRINCIPAL PAYABLES PRINCIPAL NET POSITION OF ENTITIES
PSO
Total 106,421 Total 75,996 30,425
SSGCL
Total 26,245 Total 27,211 -966
SNGPL
Total 11,880 Total 20,406 -8,526
PEPCO
Total 191,005 Total 230,715 -39,710
OGDCL
Total 79,891 Total 151 79,740
PARCO
Total 29,857 Total - 29,857
KESC
Total 14,800 Total 38,410 -23,610
GHPL
Total 10,567 Total - 10,567
PPL
Total 25,931 Total - 25,931
KW&SB
Total 8,044 Total 7,814 231

PEPCO: FUTURE GENERATION PROJECTS

YEAR ANNUAL CAPACITY PLANNED (MW)
2009-10 1,200
2010-11 2,966
2011-12 1,357
2012-13 2,140
2013-14 1,426
2014-15 1,060
2015-16 1,959
2016-17 2,597
2017-18 2,596
Total 17,301

WAPDA T&D LOSSES OF NET SYSTEM ENERGY

FISCAL YEAR 2000-01 02-03 05-06 07-08 08-09 08-09
(JULY-MARCH)
09-10
(JULY-MARCH)
T&D Losses (%) 24.3 24.4 22.4 21.3 21.1 19.4 19.6

COMMERCIAL ENERGY SUPPLIES

FISCAL YEAR OIL (000 BARRELS) GAS
(MCF) +
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
(000 TONNES)
COAL
(000 TONNES)
ELECTRICITY
CRUDE OIL IMPORTS LOCAL CRUDE EXT IMP PRO IMP PRO INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) GEN (GWH)
2004-05 61,161 24,119 1,344,953 5,676 10,474 3,307 4,587 19,384 85,738
2005-06 63,546 23,936 1,400,026 6,009 10,498 2,843 4,871 19,450 93,774
2006-07 60,694 24,615 1,413,581 8,330 10,314 4,251 3,643 19,420 98,384
2007-08 64,912 25,603 1,454,194 9,025 10,754 5,987 4,124 19,420 95,860
2008-09 62,115 24,033 1,460,679 9,974 9,828 4,652 3,738 19,786 91,843
JUL-MAR
2008-09 44,151 18,230 1,092,309 7,094 7,138 3,000 e 1,822 p 19,575 60,793 p
2009-10 38,840 17,877 1,109,360 8,619 7,685 3,600 e 1,704 p 19,650 65,582 p
IMP: IMPORTS, PRO: PRODUCTION, GEN: GENERATION, EXT: EXTRACTION

COMMERCIAL ENERGY SUPPLIES

FISCAL YEAR

ELECTRICITY
HYDROELECTRIC (HYDEL) THERMAL NUCLEAR IMPORTED (GWH)
INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) GEN
 (GWH)
INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) GEN
 (GWH)
INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) GEN
 (GWH)
2004-05 6,499 25,671 12,423 57,162 462 2,795 109
2005-06 6,499 30,862 12,489 60,283 462 2,484 146
2006-07 6,479 31,953 12,478 63,972 462 2,288 171
2007-08 6,480 28,707 12,478 63,877 462 3,077 199
2008-09 6,481 27,784 12,843 62,214 462 1,618 227
JUL-MAR
2008-09 6,481 20,526 12,632 p 39,154 462 918 195
2009-10 (e) 6,481 23,535 12,707 p 39,342 p 462 2,521 185
GEN: GENERATION

POWER DEMAND POSITION (MW)

YEAR FIRM SUPPLY PEAK DEMAND SURPLUS/ (DEFICIT)
2006 15,072 15,483 (411)
2007 15,091 16,548 (1,457)
2008 15,055 17,689 (2,634)
2009 15,055 19,080 (4,025)
2010 15,055 20,584 (5,529)

INDUSTRIAL SUPPLY TARIFF BY KESC DURING 2011

S.NO TARIFF CATEGORY/ PARTICULARS FIXED CHANGES RS/KW/M VARIABLE CHANGES
BI Less than 5 kw (at 400/230 volts) - 9.08
B2 (a) 5-500 kw (at 400 volts 360.00 7.74
B3(a) For all loads up to 5000 kw (at 11,33 kv) 349.00 7.80
B4(a) For all loads up to 5000 kw (at 66,132 kv & above) 336.00 7.26
. TIME USE . PEAK OFF-PEAK
B2 (a) 5-500 kw (at 400 v) 360.00 11.21 6.63
B3 (b) For all loads up to 5000 kw (at 11,33 kv) 349.00 11.30 6.38
B4 (b) For all loads up to 5000 kw (at 66,132 kv & above) 336.00 10.90 6.09
B5 For all loads (at 220 kv & above) 336.00 9.23 6.05

REGIONAL COAL SUPPLY (TWh) & Share 2009 (%)

REGION 2000 2008 2009 (%)
North America 6,654 6,740 6,375 16
Asia excl. China 5,013 7,485 7,370 19
China 7,318 16,437 18,449 47
EU 3,700 3,499 3,135 8
Africa 1,049 1,213 1,288 3
Russia 1,387 1,359 994 3
Others 1,485 1,763 1,727 4
Total 26,607 38,497 39,340 100