AGRICULTURE

S.M. ABBAS ZAIDI, S.KAMAL HAYDER KAZMI,
Research Analyst
, PAGE
May 31 - June 6, 2010

GLOBAL & DOMESTIC COMMODITY PRICES

GLOBAL COMMODITY PRICES
ITEMS UNIT 15-MAY-09 16-APR-10 14-MAY-10 21-MAY-10
Cotton (No.2) US cents/pound 56.3 80 80.7 83
Sugar (World No.11) US cents/pound 15 16 14.1 15.7
Rice (CBOT) US$/cwt 11.9 12.8 11.8 12
Soybeans (CBOT) US$/bushel 11.3 10 9.5 9.4
Wheat (CBOT) US$/bushel 5.8 5 4.7 4.7
Palm oil @ MYR/Tonne 2849 2586 2470 2531
Tea (Kenya)* US$/Kg 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.5
Urea Granular (Middle East) USD/Metric ton 263 284 250 250
DAP (US Gulf) USD/Metric ton 305 462 460 460
DOMESTIC COMMODITY PRICES
ITEMS UNIT 21-MAY-09 15-APR-10 13-MAY-10 20-MAY-10
Weekly SPI Index (Combined) . 213.2 248.51 249.54 250.2
Cotton# Rs per37.32 kg 3700 5750 6800 6550
Sugar kg 45 61.2 61 60.9
Rice Basmati (broken) kg 41.8 45 44.9 44.9
Cooking Oil 2.5ltr 358 370.7 370.7 370.7
Wheat Flour kg 27 28.9 27.5 27.6
Vegetable Ghee 2.5kg 350 370.7 370.7 370.7
Tea Packet 250gm 100 130.3 130.3 130.3
Urea Sona 50 kg bag 783.8 819.8 892.1 886.7
DAP 50 kg bag 1932.1 2615.4 2640.4 2644.6


LAND UTILIZATION IN PAKISTAN (Million hectares)

. CULTIVATED AREA .
FISCAL
YEAR
TOTAL
AREA
RA FA NAC CW CF NAS TAC (7+8) ASMTO
 (8+10)
 TCA
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
2004-05 79.61 59.48 4.02 24.39 8.94 6.86 15.27 22.13 7.51 22.78
2005-06 79.61 57.22 4.03 22.88 8.12 6.47 15.58 22.05 7.55 23.13
2006-07 79.61 57.25 4.2 22.7 8.32 6.44 15.59 22.03 7.92 23.51
2007-08 P 79.61 57.25 4.2 22.7 8.32 6.44 15.59 22.03 7.92 23.51
RA: REPORTED AREA, FA: FOREST AREA, NAC: NOT AVAILABLE FOR CULTIVATION, CW: CULTURABLE WASTE, CF: CURRENT FALLOW, NAS: NET AREA SOWN, TAC: TOTAL AREA CULTIVATED, ASMTO: AREA SOWN MORE THAN ONCE, TCA: TOTAL CROPPED AREA


AGRICULTURE
FISCAL YEAR CROPPED AREA(MN HECTARES) IMPROVED SEED DISTRIBUTION(000 TONNES) WATER AVAILABILITY (MAF) FERTILIZER OFF-TAKE(000 N/T) CREDIT DISBURSED(RS MN)
2004-05 22.78 213.75 135.68 3,694.04 108,732.91
2005-06 23.13 305.11 137.78 3,804.19 137,474.31
2006-07 23.51 293.54 137.80 3,672.00 168,830.45
2007-08 P 23.51 231.67 138.10 2,839.00 138,596.72

FISCAL YEAR

PRODUCTION OF FRUIT (000 tonnes)

EXPORT

CITRUS MANGO APPLE BANANA APRI-COT AL-MONDS GRAPES GUAVA (000 TONNES) VALUE (MLN. RS)
2004-05 1,843 1,671 352 158 205 23 49 572 281 5,408
2005-06 2,458 1,754 351 164 197 23 49 552 455 7,508
2006-07 1,473 1,720 348 150 177 24 47 555 343 6,894
2007-08 P 1,450 1,750 346 151 160 23 44 563 282 7,313


PRODUCTION OF MAJOR CROPS (000 TONS)

YEAR COTTON
(000 BALES)
SUGARCANE RICE MAIZE WHEAT
2006-07 12856 54742 5438 3088 23295
(-1.2) (22.6) (-2.0) (-0.7) (9.5)
2007-08 11655 63920 5563 3605 20959
(-9.3) (16.8) (2.3) (16.7) (-10.0)
2008-09 11819 50045 6952 4036 23421
(1.4) (-21.7) (24.9) (11.9) (11.7)


ACTUAL SURFACE WATER AVAILABILITY (MAF)

PERIOD KHARIF RABI TOTAL
Average system usage 67.1 36.4 103.5
2005-06 70.8 30.1 100.9
2006-07 63.1 31.2 94.3
2007-08 70.8 27.9 98.7
2008-09 (P) 66.9 24.9 91.8


AGRICULTURE GROWTH IN PER CENT

YEAR AGRICULTURE MAJOR CROP MINOR CROP
2002-2003 4.1 6.8 1.9
2003-2004 2.4 1.7 3.9
2004-2005 6.5 17.7 1.5
2005-2006 6.3 -3.9 0.4
2006-2007 4.1 7.7 -1.0
2007-2008 1.1 -6.4 10.9
2008-2009 4.7 7.7 3.6


GDP & AGRICULTURE (PERCENT)

INDICATORS FY08

FY09

TARGETS ACTUAL
Real GDP (at factor cost) 4.1 5.5 2
Agriculture 1.1 3.5 4.7
Major crops -6.4 4.5 7


CONSUMER PRICE INDEX BY FOOD

GROUP

GROUPS WEIGHT
IN %

INDICES

CHANGE APRIL 2010 OVER

MAR-10

APR-09

MAR-10

APR-09

APR-10

MAR-10

APR-09

IN %

IN % POINTS (IMPACT)

Food & beverages 40.34 252.53 247.55 220.46 2.01 14.55 0.80 5.98
Non-perishable food items 35.20 251.68 251.14 219.29 0.22 14.77 0.07 5.29
Perishable food items 5.14 258.37 222.96 228.42 15.88 13.11 0.73 0.69