OUTLOOK 2009

S.M. ABBAS ZAIDI, S.KAMAL HAYDER KAZMI,
Research Analyst
, PAGE
May 11 - 17, 2009

PRODUCTION OF IMPORTANT CROPS

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COTTON

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FISCAL YEAR WHEAT RICE BAJ JOW MAIZE BAR TOTAL FOOD GRAINS GM SUGAR-CANE R & M SES (000 TON)   (000 BALES) TOB
2000-01 19,024 4,803 199 219 1,643 99 25,987 397 43,606 230 50.7 1,826 10,732 85
2001-02 18,226 3,882 216 222 1,664 100 24,311 362 48,042 221 69.6 1,805 10,613 94
2002-03 19,183 4,478 189 202 1,737 100 25,889 675 52,056 215 19.3 1,737 10,211 88
2003-04 19,500 4,848 274 238 1,897 98 26,855 611 53,419 221 25 1,709 10,048 86
2004-05 21,612 5,025 193 186 2,797 92 29,905 868 47,244 203 30 2,426 14,263 101
2005-06 21,277 5,547 221 153 3,110 88 30,396 480 44,666 172 35 2,215 13,019 113
2006-07 23,295 5,438 238 180 3,088 94 32,337 838 54,742 212 30 2,187 12,856 103
2007-08 P 21,749 5,563 305 170 3,313 98 31,198 823 63,920 271 33 1,982 11,655 95
R & M: RAPESEED & MUSTARD
TOB: TOBACCO
BAJ: BAJRA
JOW: JOWAR
BAR: BARLEY
GM: GRAM
SES: SESAMUM
P: Provisional (Jul-Mar)
Source: 1. Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Livestock.

EXPORTS, IMPORTS AND BALANCE OF TRADE

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EXPORTS (F.O.B.)

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IMPORTS (F.O.B)

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BALANCE OF TRADE

PERIOD

VALUE

CUMULA-TIVE

GROWTH RATE

VALUE

CUMULA-TIVE

GROWTH RATE

2001-02 9,140 -- 2.3 9,434 -- -7.5 -294
2002-03 10,889 -- 19.1 11,333 -- 20.1 -444
2003-04 12,396 -- 13.8 13,604 -- 20 -1,208
2004-05 14,482 -- 16.8 18,996 -- 39.6 -4,514
2005-06 16,553 -- 14.3 24,994 -- 31.6 -8,441
2006-07 17,278 -- 4.4 26,989 -- 8 -9,711
2007-08 P 20,122 . 16.5 35,417 . 31.2 -15,295
Jul-08 P 1,960 1,960 -1.4 3,116 3,116 -9.6 -1,156
Aug-08 P 1,785 3,745 -8.9 3,160 6,276 1.4 -1,375
Sep-08 P 1,969 5,714 10.3 3,560 9,836 12.7 -1,591
Oct-08 P 1,442 7,156 -26.8 3,183 13,019 -10.6 -1,741
Nov-08 P 1,588 8,744 10.1 2,260 15,279 -29 -673
Dec-08 P 1,452 10,196 -8.5 2,575 17,854 13.9 -1,123
Jan-09 P 1,294 11,490 -10.9 2,160 20,014 -16.1 -866
Feb-09 P 1,525 13,015 17.9 1,864 21,878 -13.7 -339
Source: SBP

FBR TAX COLLECTION IN JULY-FEB
(BN RS.)
. . JULY-FEB .
REVENUE HEAD TARGET 2008-09 2007-08 2008-09 CHANGE (%)
A) Direct Taxes 496.0 216.7 256.3 18.3
B) Indirect Taxes 754.0 368.7 446.1 21.0
1. Sales Tax 472.0 228.1 283.4 24.3
2. Federal Excise 112.0 54.01 69.7 29.1
3. Customs 170.0 86.6 93.0 7.3
Total Net Collection 1250 585.4 702.5 20.0
Source: FBR

KSE 100 INDEX IN 2008-09

MONTHS END INDEX
JAN 14,017.01
FEB 14,934.30
MAR 15,125.29
APR 15,122.47
MAY 12,130.51
JUN 12,289.03
JUL 10,583.58
AUG 9,208.26
SEP 9,179.68
OCT 9182.88
NOV 9183.14
DEC 6,487.520
JAN 5,377.420
FEB 5,727.460
MAR 6441.00
APR 7271.30
MAY 7062.25
 Source: KSE

BUDGET DISTRIBUTION IN PAKISTAN
(Rs in Mn)
CLASSIFICATION 2007-08 2008-09 % in 2008-09
General Public Service 881657 929522 62.25
Defence Affairs and Services 277265 296077 19.9
Public Order and Safety Affairs 26106 26770 1.79
Economic Affairs 293442 201151 13.43
Environment Protection 183 210 0.01
Housing & Community Amenities 1146 1359 0.09
Health Affairs and Services 5287 5490 0.36
Recreational, Culture & Religion 3131 3191 0.21
Education Affairs and Services 24280 24622 1.64
Social Protection 3765 4791 0.32
TOT: 1516262 1493183 .
Various sources

GDP GROWTH RATE IN PAK

YEARS GDP (%)
2002-03 4.7
2003-04 7.5
2004-05 8.6
2005-06 6.6
2006-07 6.8
2007-08 5.8
2008-09 2.5 to 3
Source: FBS

PAKISTANíS FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES

YEARS (US $ bn)
1998 0.84
1999 1.68
2000 1.39
2001 1.32
2002 4.82
2003 9.80
2004 10.95
2005 10.37
2006 11.34
2007 14.04
2008 8.32
2009 11.15(latest)
Various Sources

NO. OF UNIVERSITIES IN PAKISTAN
REGION UNIVERSITIES PUBLIC PRIVATE
AJK 3 1 2
Balochistan 7 5 2
Islamabad 17 14 3
Northern Areas 1 1  -
NWFP 22 13 9
Punjab 36 20 16
Sindh 38 13 25
Total 124 67 57
Source: HEC