ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION IN PAKISTAN

S.M. ABBAS ZAIDI, S.KAMAL HAYDER KAZMI,
Research Analyst
, PAGE
Nov 03 - 09, 2008

ELECTRICITY PRODUCTION IN PAKISTAN DUING 2008

SOURCES

WORLD WIDE (%)

PAKISTAN (%)

Coal

40

6.5

Gas

19

45

Nuclear

16

2.5

Hydro

16

33

Oil

7

16

Sources: World Bank


ENERGY IN PAKISTAN

(MW)

YEAR

DEMAND

SUPPLY

GAP

2003

13,071

14,336

1,265

2004

13,831

15,046

1,215

2005

14,642

15,082

440

2006

15,483

15,072

-411

2007

16,548

15,091

-1,457

2008

17,689

15,055

-2,634

2009

19,080

15,055

-4,025

2010

20,584

15,055

-5,529

Estimated by PPIB


CURRENT & FUTURE POWER POSITION

(MW)

.

THERMAL

HYDEL

COAL

NP TC REQ
.

WAPDA

IPP'S

KESC

TOTAL

WAPDA

IPP'S

TOTAL

WAPDA

KESC

TOTAL

. . .

Installed

4,835

5,832

1,756

12,423

6,494

-

6,494

. . .

462

19,379

20,000

.

25%

30%

9%

64%

33%

.

33%

. . .

2%

100%

.

After 5 years

5,000

6,000

2,000

13,000

6,000

3,000

9,000

400

1,200

1,600

1,000

24,600

25,000

.

20%

24%

8%

53%

24%

12%

36%

2%

5%

7%

4%

100%

.

After 10 Years

5,000

6,000

2,000

13,000

10,630

5,000

15,630

400

4,600

5,000

1,500

35,130

35,000

.

14%

17%

6%

37%

30%

14%

44%

1%

13%

14%

4%

100%

.

NUCLEAR PUBLIC: NP
TOTAL CAPACITY: TC
REQUIRED: REQ

Source: Hydrocarbon Development Institute of Pakistan.


COUNTRY

PRODUCTION BILLION
KWH 2006

% OF TOTAL PRODUCTION

NO, OF OPERATIVE REACTORS

NO, OF PROPOSED REACTORS

NO, OF UNDER CONSTRUCTION REACTORS

USA

787

19

104

25

0

France

428

78

59

1

1

Japan

292

30

55

1

2

Germany

162

31

19

-

-

Russia

144

16

31

20

7

South Korea

141

39

20

-

3

Britain

69

18

19

-

-

Canada

92

16

18

2

2

Belgium

44

58

7

-

-

South Africa

10

4

2

24

-

China

52

2

11

86

5

India

17

4

14

9

6

Pakistan

2.6

2.7

2

13

1

Various sources


ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION (KWH) 2008

RANK

COUNTRY

CONSUMPTION

1

World

16,560,000,000,000

2

United States

3,816,000,000,000

3

China

2,859,000,000,000

4

European Union

2,810,000,000,000

5

Japan

974,200,000,000

7

Germany

545,500,000,000

8

Canada

540,200,000,000

9

India

488,500,000,000

10

France

451,500,000,000

11

Brazil

368,500,000,000

13

United Kingdom

348,700,000,000

14

Italy

307,100,000,000

15

Spain

243,000,000,000

16

Australia

219,800,000,000

17

South Africa

210,700,000,000

18

Taiwan

201,600,000,000

19

Mexico

183,300,000,000

20

Ukraine

181,900,000,000

21

Saudi Arabia

146,900,000,000

22

Iran

136,200,000,000

23

Sweden

134,100,000,000

24

Turkey

129,000,000,000

26

Thailand

117,700,000,000

28

Netherlands

108,200,000,000

29

Indonesia

108,000,000,000

30

Iraq

105,900,000,000

32

Egypt

84,490,000,000

35

Malaysia

78,720,000,000

37

Pakistan

67,060,000,000

Various Sources


RAISE IN POWER TARIFFS

USAGE

INCREASE IN RS PER UNIT

UP to 100 units

4.97

100 to 300 units

6.13

300 to 1000 units

8.58

Above 1000 units

9.8

FOR COMMERCIAL CONSUMERS

UP to 100 Units

9.93

100 to 300 Units

10.04

INDUSTRIAL CONSUMERS

400 MW off peek

8.5

400 MW full peek

8.15

Various Sources


CURRENT YEAR PERFORMANCE OF KSE

DECADEWISE PROGRESS

YEAR

NO. OF LISTED COMPANIES

LISTED CAPITAL (RS. IN MN)

MARKET CAP (RS. IN MN)

1950

15

117.3

-

1960

81

1,007.70

1,871.40

1970

291

3,864.60

5,658.10

1980

314

7,630.20

9,767.30

1990

487

28,056.00

61,750.00

2000

762

236,458.50

382,730.40

Source: KSE


KSE 100 INDEX

MONTHS

INDEX

1-Jan

13,666.43

31-Jan

14,017.01

1-Feb

13,974.41

29-Feb

14,934.30

3-Mar

14,816.43

31-Mar

15,125.29

1-Apr

15,209.86

30-Apr

15,122.47

2-May

14,956.82

30-May

12,130.51

2-Jun

12,281.20

30-Jun

12,289.03

1-Jul

12,289.03

31-Jul

10,583.58

1-Aug

10,171.39

29-Aug

9,208.26

1-Sep

9,210.15

30-Sep

9,179.68

Oct

9182.88

Source: KSE


DECLINE OF MAJOR SECTORS IN KSE DURING 2008

SECTORS

JAN

OCT

BANKS:

MCB

382.55

235.75

NBP

221.1

93.02

UBL

166

68.25

ENERGY:

KESC

5.65

3.8

HUBCO

31

21.46

KAPCO

50.5

37.8

CEMENT:

LUCKY

111.55

57.77

DG.KHAN

90

39.28

JAVEDAN

104

97.7

AUTO ASSEMBLER:

PAK SUZUKI

316.6

83.79

INDUS MOTOR

303.25

143.3

HONDA CARS

51.4

18.39

PHARMACEUTICAL:

ABBOTT

206.25

110

GLAXO

190.05

108.7

TRANSPORT:

P.I.A

6.45

4.2

P.I.C.T

66.9

61.7

CHEMICAL:

NICL

4.85

2.13

NIRE

14

5.05

ICI

177.55

126.9

SUGAR & ALLIED:

SGML

36.65

12.5

TLML

12.3

6.43

HAL

11.65

8.64

MUTUAL FUND CLOSED ENDED:

PGF

27.15

14.97

PIF

13.2

6

MBF

8.5

7.7

PPFL

12.1

6.06

Source: KSE


KSE DURING 2008

MONTH

DATE

MAR CAP
(BN)

TURNOVER
(MN)

Jan

1

4,204.52

322.487

31

4297.493

158.372

Feb

1

4,287.83

130.21

29

4,618.94

335.109

Mar

3

4,583.89

196.083

31

4,622.92

202.617

Apr

1

4,652.92

218.399

30

4,634.77

219.379

May

2

4,585.71

201.015

30

3,746.20

226.041

June

2

3,971.25

133.318

30

3,777.70

11.485

July

1

3,759.24

46.952

31

3,301.91

115.201

Aug

1

3,178.49

72.835

29

2,881.58

23.863

Sep

1

2882.36

23.619

30

2,847.34

0.985

Oct

6

2,846.28

1.56

Source KSE