Updated on Apr
27, 2002
The money market went through a volatile phase the
past week with trading being conducted between wide bands. The PIB
auction of the month was also conducted and the authorities restricted
themselves to picking up the target amount. This did not result in any
major shift in prices of bonds and also there was not major shift in
term repo market after the outflow of funds from the market.
The overnight market at the start of the week was at
the lower end of the spectrum but gradually picked up and maintained an
upward trend. Overnight activity at 2.00% and 3.00% was witnessed but
rates took a turn on Friday and touched the 8.90% level. However the
very next day rates crashed and the market closed back at the 1.00%
level. In fact the crash was so sudden that one and two week trades were
conducted as low as 2.00% and 3.50% respectively. The term market was
relatively quiet the past week with most of the activity witnessed in
the shorter tenor of one month. Heavy trading was conducted from the 2nd
of May, the day of the next T-Bill auction, in the as the repo maturity
was crossing the financial year end. Initially trades were reported at
5.60% and lowest at 5.25% in the two month tenor while three month bids
and offers stood at 5.50% and 5.90%, respectively while six month repo
trades were hard to come by. On the other hand banks did enter into the
outright T-Bill market and one year papers changed hands. Papers
maturing in February and March 2003 were traded in the narrow band of
6.70% and 6.80%. The 10-year PIB auction attracted a total amount of
8.47 billion but the State Bank accepted Rs. 3.007 billion at a cut-off
price of 102.55. The result did not come as much of a surprise as the
paper had already traded at as high as 103.30.
The market sentiment has turned significantly bearish
as witnessed from the one and two week activity that was conducted on
Saturday. Such instances have resulted in the State Bank calling an
MOOD. However we feel that chances are slim that might happen early this
week. Furthermore chances of another slight downward adjustment in the
T-Bill yields in the coming auction do seem bright.
| YIELD PROFILE |
FEDERAL INVESTMENT BONDS |
| . |
THIS
WEEK |
1
WEEK AGO |
1
YEAR AGO |
|
1 Year |
07.00 |
06.90 |
12.00% |
|
2 Year |
08.00 |
07.50 |
12.35% |
|
3 Year |
08.40 |
08.40 |
12.50% |
|
4 Year |
08.40 |
08.40 |
12.50% |
|
5 Year |
09.40 |
09.40 |
13.00% |
|
10 Year |
10.65 |
10.40 |
13.50% |
| AUCTIONS |
| BID
DATE |
INSTRUMENT |
RESULT |
SETTLEMENT |
| April
17 |
T-BILL |
April
17 |
April
18 |
| TARGET AMOUNT |
BID
AMOUNT |
ACCEPTED AMOUNT |
| Rs.3,000
Mln |
Rs.6,150 Mln. |
Rs.19,500
Mln |
|
|
| MATURITIES |
INSTRUMENT |
DATE |
AMOUNT |
|
T-Bill |
04 April |
6,450 Mln. |
|
T-Bill |
18 April |
7,300 Mln. |
|
|
|
|
REPO RATES |
|
THIS WEEK |
1 WEEK AGO |
1 YEAR AGO |
|
Overnight |
01.00 |
02.50 |
12.90 |
|
1 Week |
02.00 |
03.75 |
08.75 |
|
1 Month |
08.88 |
05.00 |
10.00 |
|
3 Month |
05.58 |
05.65 |
10.90 |
|
6 Month |
06.10 |
06.15 |
11.30 |
|
1 Year |
06.70 |
06.55 |
12.00 |
|
|
|
| TREASURY
BILL RATES |
| MATURING |
THIS WEEK |
1 WEEK AGO |
1 YEAR AGO |
|
1 Month |
05.85 |
05.50 |
11.00 |
|
2 Month |
05.50 |
05.35 |
10.85 |
|
3 Month |
05.65 |
05.65 |
10.90 |
|
4 Month |
05.90 |
05.85 |
11.00 |
|
5 Month |
06.10 |
06.05 |
11.20 |
|
|