Wapda should abandonits
hard-line approach towards IPPs
From YOUSAF RAFIQ
SPECIAL CORRESPONDENT, ISLAMABAD
Mar 06 - 12, 2000
WAPDA is hailing its new agreements with smaller IPPs as a great
success and resulting in cash flow relief of $1 billion over the next 30 years. Those IPPs
which have not yet signed the new agreements are being branded as 'difficult",
'unpatriotic" and "serving the interests of the multilateral agencies"
WAPDA's telling the World Bank and IMF that an orderly process" is being followed and
dangling the agreements with smaller lPPs as a measure of the orderly process to secure
the IMF tranche which has been held back due to unsatisfactory progress on the IPP
dispute. Senior officials of the Asian Development Bank who are on a mission to discuss
the WAPDA restructuring and for which ADB will provide $250 million dollars, have also
stressed to the GoP to reach an "amicable accord" with Hubco and other lPPs. By
showing progress on smaller IPPs and publicizing it, WAPDA is strategically isolating the
larger "rogue IPPs", and using the agreements with smaller IPPs to ipress upon
the multilateral agencies to release their funding for Pakistan. Accords with smaller IPPs
also make the larger IPPs look bad in the public eye, and this is what WAPDA is
strategically maneuvering
Senior officials of IPPs stress that the stalemate can only be broken
by the GoP who should ask WAPDA to abandon its hard-line approach and reduce its
unreasonable demands towards Hubco, Kapco, Uch Power and AES, so as to reach an
expeditious solution to the commercial dispute. As far as Hubco is concerned, the
stalemate will continue ad-infinitum unless WAPDA addresses Hubco's principled stand in
which the Company is pointing out that the corruption issues be resolved immediately
before any tariff negotiations can resume. A number of smaller IPPs e.g. Tapal Power,
Kohinoor, Fauji Kabirwala, Gul Ahmed Energy are also facing difficulty in reaching a
reasonable solution. Another smaller IPP, Rousch has offered a tariff reduction but it has
been reliably learnt that the accord was not achieved under "amicable"
circumstances as claimed by WAPDA rather WAPDA threatened to not commission the plant and
cancel the contract unless Rousch acquiesced to grant cash flow concessions to WAPDA.
The main features of so called new agreements with other IPPs are: (1)
marginal decrease in tariff over the initial one to ten year period of project life; (2)
an increase of eight years in project life from 22 to 30 years; (3) waiver by WAPDA of
liquidated damages due to IPPs from WAPDA; (4) resolution of technical matters relating to
commercial operations date and other claims on each other; (5) waiver of letter of credit
requirement by IPPs and WAPDA.
The crucial point is that an increase in project life has allowed IPPs
to show a reduction in tariff over the initial ten years of project life. However, the
additional payments made by WAPDA to these IPPs over the last eight years of extended
project life are of such magnitude that they completely offset the savings in the initial
period. For example, in SEPCOLs case the life of the project has been extended from
twenty-two to thirty years. During the first twenty-two years tariff reductions provide a
savings of $19 million. In the year 22-30, WAPDA would be purchasing electricity worth $42
million inclusive of capacity payment charges. Moreover, WAPDA would be waiving liquidated
damages worth $4.3 million. These damages are due to WAPDA from SEPCOL for not having its
required plant capacity available as per contract. So, while WAPDA saves 19 million from
SEPCOL, it pays an additional 46 million resulting in additional payments or negative net
savings of $27 million.
Japan Power has offered a much larger tariff reduction of $128 million
in the first twenty-two years but as expected, it requires WAPDA to pay an additional $139
million in the years 22-30 for power purchase during the extended eight year period of the
contract. In addition WAPDA has been asked to waive liquidated damages worth $5 million.
Of these IPPs, SABA Power is perhaps the only IPP which is offering WAPDA savings of $17
million over the project life on the condition that WAPDA would purchase the full base
case 60 per cent plant capacity. The offer made by Habibullah Coastal is not directly
comaparble to other IPP offers as it uses natural gas, a much cheaper fuel than the
furnace oil used by other IPPs. Nevertheless, delays in implementation of these offers can
still occur as they are subject to approval by the GOP, Company's Banks and their Board of
Directors.
Newspaper comments of WAPDA Chairman show that WAPDA has rejected
Hubco's earlier offer in which it had offered a tariff reduction of 0.23 US Cents per
kilowatt hour over the entire project life of 30 years. This tariff reduction amounts to a
fall in IRR from 18 percent to 15 percent. Unlike other IPPs, Hubco has not extended its
original project life which was 30 years to start with.