LME copper may consolidate in $6,889-$6,959 range
LME copper may consolidate in a narrow range of $6,889-$6,959 per tonne for one day before rising towards $7,015. The range is formed by the 23.6 percent and the 38.2 percent retracements of the downtrend from $7,253 to $6,777. The bounce from $6,777 looks incomplete, it may consist of three waves.
The second wave labelled b may end in the range, to be then reversed by an upward wave c. A break below $6,889 could confirm an extension of the wave b towards $6,847, while a break above $6,959 could confirm the target at $7,015. No information in this analysis should be considered as being business, financial or legal advice.
First wind farm operational in coal-reliant Bosnia
Bosnia’s maiden wind farm began producing electricity last Wednesday as part of the country’s efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions and meet the renewable energy standards of the European Union it aspires to join.
The 50.6 megawatt (MW) Mesihovina wind power plant, located near the northwestern town of Tomislavgrad, consists of 22 turbines and can produce 165.2 gigawatt-hours (GWh) of power a year, or enough to supply 27,500 households. The turbines are set in rocky-mountainous terrain ascending the Duvanjsko field. The project was commissioned by majority state-run power utility Elektroprivreda HZHB (EHZHB), the smallest of the three power utilities operating in the Balkan country, and took 13 years to complete. Bosnia generates 60 percent of its electricity from coal-fired power plants and the remainder from hydro-power. It plans to increase the share of renewable energy to 43 percent by 2020.
Chicago soy tumbles on US acreage outlook
Chicago soybean futures tumbled on Wednesday, pressured by technical selling and outlooks for record-large US plantings this year, traders and analysts said.
Chicago Board of Trade May soybean futures dropped 16-1/2 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $10.32-1/4 per bushel. Prices accelerated declines at late-morning after advisory service Allendale Inc released a survey of farmers predicting US soy plantings at 92.104 million acres and corn sowings at 88.514 million acres. Soybean plantings this year in the United States are widely believed to be going to rise above corn for the first time since 1983 as prices ratios point to higher profits in soy.
Corn sees pause after 7-month high
US corn futures held close to a seven-month high on Wednesday as investors weighed up brisk export demand and drought losses to Argentine crops against global trade tensions. Soybeans edged up as the oilseed market remained focused on persisting drought in Argentina, while wheat ticked higher with similar concerns about parched US wheat belts.
The most active corn futures on the Chicago Board Of Trade inched up 0.2 percent to $3.92-1/2 a bushel by 1402 GMT, close to Tuesday’s high of $3.95-1/4, a level not reached since July. CBOT wheat futures were up 0.4 percent at $4.88-1/2 a bushel, while soybeans added 0.3 percent to $10.51-3/4 a bushel.
NY may cocoa to hover below $2,559
New York May cocoa faces a resistance at $2,559 per tonne and may hover below this level or retrace towards a support at $2,492. The resistance is at the 200 percent projection level of an upward wave C from $1,991.
The bearish divergence on the hourly RSI suggests dissipating bullish momentum. Without a consolidation, the contract may not retest the resistance. A break below $2,492 could cause a loss to $2,451 while a break above $2,559 could confirm the extension of the wave C towards $2,626.
China sells 22,900 tonnes of cotton
China sells 22,900 tonnes of cotton at auction of state reserves at an average price of 14,456 yuan ($2,289.23) per tonne. Sale represents 76.31 percent of the cotton available at auction ($1 = 6.3148 Chinese yuan.
Ethiopia considers offers in tender for 400,000 tonnes wheat
The lowest offer in a tender by the Ethiopian government to buy 400,000 tonnes of wheat was $250.15 a tonne c&f to Ethiopian ports, but other offers were being considered, traders said.
The lowest offer apparently did not fulfil all tender conditions, which included a requirement to submit a second offer including inland transport costs to delivery points inside Ethiopia, they said. The lowest offer fulfilling the tender conditions was $269.00 a tonne c&f to Ethiopian ports, they said. The tender closed on Tuesday but no purchase has yet been made as offers were still being considered, they said.
Spot gold neutral in $1,318-$1,327 range
Spot gold looks neutral in a range of $1,318-$1,327 per ounce and an escape could suggest a direction. The range is formed by the 23.6 percent and the 38.2 percent retracements on the downtrend from $1,366.07 to $1,302.61.
A break above $1,327 could lead to a gain to $1,334. However, the bias seems to be towards the downside, as suggested by a double-top, which formed around $1,366. Even though the pattern has not been confirmed, it still indicates that gold could eventually fall below the March 1 low of $1,302.61. On the daily chart, gold has been remaining below a resistance at $1,330, the 14.6 percent level of the uptrend from $1,122.35 to $1,366.07.
Palm oil may bounce into 2,403-2,420 ringgit range
Palm oil may bounce into a range of 2,403-2,420 ringgit per tonne, as suggested by a projection analysis and the hourly RSI. The contract is riding on a wave c, which has been disrupted by two bounces around 2,367 ringgit and 2,347 ringgit, respectively the 107 percent and the 123.6 percent projection levels of a downward wave c.
These two bounces signal a dissipation of the bearish momentum. On the daily chart, palm oil has broken a key support at 2,416 ringgit, the 61.8 percent projection level of a big wave C from 2,896 ringgit.